16  Cost of delay

Release

10.0.3

16.2 Flight phases, types of delay costs and calculation method used

A description of the flight phases, types of delay costs and the calculation method used in the study are given hereafter.

Figure 16.1: Overview of the different flight phases

Types of delay costs

  • Tactical delay costs are incurred on the day of operations. In most cases, it is anticipated that the user will find it appropriate to use the full tactical costs in order to calculate these costs of delay. These include the reactionary costs of ‘knock-on’ delay in the rest of the network, which it is usually pertinent to include.

  • Strategic delay costs are accounted for in advance. Strategic costs are typically used to assess the cost of adding buffers to schedules. This could be by airline choice or imposed by scheduling constraints at an airport (and thus considered a cost of congestion, albeit one which offsets tactical delay costs). Strategic costs may also be incurred as a consequence of factors which contribute to an increase in flight time in a predictable way, such as delay due to route design.

Calculation method

The tactical and strategic delay costs referred to in Table 16.1 and Table 16.2 are calculated based on the results extracted from the University of Westminster (UoW) study report “European airline delay cost reference values – Updated and extended values Version 4.1” – December 2015. Explicit cost tables for analytical use (up to 30 minutes of delay) are presented at the end of this section. The extended tables can be found in the UoW report mentioned above.

As regards tactical delay costs, these are given for 5, 15, 30, 60, 90, 120, 180, 240 and 300 minutes in the UoW report. These are scaled up to network level, because on the day of operations, original delays caused by one aircraft cause ‘knock-on’ effects in the rest of the network (reactionary delays).

Based on at-gate data provided by the Central Office for Delay Analysis (CODA) on ranges of departure delays by aircraft type for year 2014, assumptions have been made for the remaining three flight phases (i.e. taxi, en-route and arrival management). The same delay distribution has been used as an assumption applicable to all flight phases.

The UoW results have been averaged by minute of delay per type of aircraft (15 in total) and further weighted by the distribution of the number of delayed flights per delay range, at departure, carried out by these aircraft in 2014.

Consequently, for each flight phase, two types of values have been calculated:

  1. one taking into account long delays (i.e. 0 to more than 300 minutes)

  2. one taking into account short delays (i.e. up to 30 minutes), which represent about 90% of all delays

As regards strategic delay, since costs at the strategic level are incorporated into the aircraft operator’s schedule in advance, they are associated with average costs and, therefore, only a distribution of the number of flights was applied in order to calculate the strategic high-level averages.

Use of costs in business cases

When comparing two scenarios, it is not correct to calculate the delay avoided as a benefit without taking into account the corresponding marginal cost of capacity. In other words, there is a delay threshold below which the marginal cost of capacity outweighs the delay avoidance benefit.

Every CBA should carefully consider whether the improvements envisaged by the project are of a tactical or strategic nature. For the correct use and precise understanding of the tactical and strategic delay concepts, see section 4 of and Annex I to the 2004 University of Westminster delay study.

16.2.1 Delay cost details by aircraft type and duration

In the tables below are presented the explicit cost data as extracted from University of Westminster study and adjusted to 2022 prices.

Table 16.3:

Total tactical delay costs with network effect - base scenario

Aircraft type At gate Taxiing En-route Arrival management
5' 15' 30' 5' 15' 30' 5' 15' 30' 5' 15' 30'
A319 €83 €523 €1,901 €154 €724 €2,305 €286 €1,128 €3,112 €262 €1,057 €2,982
A320 €95 €594 €2,162 €178 €844 €2,672 €297 €1,199 €3,386 €297 €1,187 €3,350
A321 €119 €689 €2,566 €201 €927 €3,041 €357 €1,414 €4,015 €333 €1,343 €3,873
A332 €213 €1,176 €4,218 €404 €1,722 €5,310 €677 €2,542 €6,961 €558 €2,185 €6,237
AT43 €36 €213 €724 €71 €309 €915 €83 €345 €986 €83 €345 €986
AT72 €47 €286 €974 €83 €392 €1,199 €107 €463 €1,343 €107 €440 €1,295
B733 €83 €511 €1,842 €166 €749 €2,317 €297 €1,140 €3,112 €250 €1,010 €2,851
B734 €95 €570 €2,067 €178 €820 €2,577 €309 €1,199 €3,326 €297 €1,164 €3,243
B735 €83 €463 €1,663 €166 €712 €2,150 €274 €1,045 €2,816 €213 €879 €2,483
B738 €107 €641 €2,305 €178 €856 €2,745 €321 €1,283 €3,599 €297 €1,211 €3,457
B744 €286 €1,627 €5,939 €546 €2,400 €7,484 €1,104 €4,086 €10,857 €844 €3,279 €9,242
B752 €119 €736 €2,720 €237 €1,093 €3,445 €404 €1,592 €4,431 €345 €1,402 €4,062
B763 €201 €1,069 €3,802 €345 €1,497 €4,656 €606 €2,281 €6,225 €570 €2,173 €6,022
DH8D €47 €297 €1,057 €83 €404 €1,272 €130 €534 €1,520 €130 €534 €1,520
E190 €71 €380 €1,366 €130 €558 €1,722 €213 €832 €2,269 €213 €820 €2,234
Source: University of Westminster (2015), European airline delay cost reference values - version 4.1
Table 16.4:

Strategic delay costs per hour - base scenario

Aircraft type At gate Taxiing En-route
A319 €962.25 €2,281.20 €4,062.31
B734 €1,068.90 €2,565.61 €4,145.26
B735 €1,247.84 €2,756.40 €4,906.05
B738 €2,043.00 €5,036.41 €8,576.12
B752 €273.74 €891.15 €1,068.90
B763 €404.10 €1,163.71 €1,508.55
B744 €641.11 €2,031.15 €3,801.60
A319 €712.21 €2,220.76 €3,908.25
A320 €605.55 €2,031.15 €3,504.16
A321 €1,199.26 €2,458.95 €4,336.05
AT43 €1,782.30 €5,892.01 €13,006.97
AT72 €855.60 €2,839.35 €5,000.86
DH8D €1,555.95 €4,014.91 €7,400.56
E190 €641.11 €1,354.50 €1,936.35
A332 €914.85 €2,043.00 €3,267.15
Source: University of Westminster (2015), European airline delay cost reference values - version 4.1

16.4 References

[1]
University of Westminster, “Evaluating the true cost to airlines of one minute of airborne or ground delay,” 2004 [Online]. Available: https://www.eurocontrol.int/publication/evaluating-true-cost-airlines-one-minute-airborne-or-ground-delay
[2]
University of Westminster, “European airline delay cost reference values - version 4.1,” 2015 [Online]. Available: https://www.eurocontrol.int/publication/european-airline-delay-cost-reference-values

  1. ATFM delay is defined as the duration between the last take-off time requested by the aircraft operator and the take-off slot allocated by the Network Manager following a regulation communicated by the flow management position (FMP), in relation to an airport (airport ATFM delay) or sector location (en route ATFM delay)↩︎